Leave your predictions. Go on the record and we will see just how smart we all are. I will reveal mine on Wednesday after everybody else has put theirs in.
Just joking, here we go:
I think Nancy Pelosi is toast. She will keep her office but it is much smaller in January. I'm thinking a broom closet. Bonus - it will give her a place to park her broom.
There are a lot of seats for the Democrats to defend that have traditionally been right-leaning and this is a bad year for them. I think the GOP already has the House, it's just a matter of how strongly.
Republicans gain 50+ seats.
Tougher to call. I worry about voting "irregularities" in Nevada and Pennsylvania, two close races that are leaning slightly Republican. I also worry about Murkowski blowing it for us in Alaska and giving the seat to the Democrats. On the flip side, I don't think we can rule out surprises in California and Washington and to a far lesser extent Connecticut and Delaware.
I still think though that recapturing the Senate is not there for us this year. It could be considerably closer than I think and will largely depend on who is right about which party has the momentum. Too many things have to go right for the GOP to retake the Senate though.
I do think that if I am wrong here and the GOP retakes the Senate then my House projection is way off and the GOP gains in the neighborhood of 70+.
Republicans gain 7 seats.
I have not been following state elections as closely, being a conservative I work for a living. I do think this is a big year for the GOP. While I have not been able to track this as much, it does not mean I do not see it as important. This is a big year for statewide elections. We not only do re-districting this year but also state governments have been passing more liberal laws in recent years.
While I am not a fan of gerrymandering, it is going to happen. I would rather see the right control it than the left. This year's re-districting can determine the political map for the next decade or more.
Further, retaking state governments will slow the rush to socialism we have been seeing for the last 2 years.
Finally, controlling statewide governments has significant influence on Presidential races. Historically a party that controls a state's government gets an edge on the Presidential campaign in the state.
Republicans gain 10-12 Governorships and the same number for legislative control
What are your thoughts?