The GOP brand was tarnished, some of this was fair, some of it was manufactured by the media.
Obama was viewed by enough people as being charismatic. A sad and pathetic indictment of the American electorate in which we often elect style over substance.
Race had a hand, he garnered a historically high proportion and turnout of the black vote.
He captured states that the Dems usually do not.
Finally, he was able to get a significant segment of the youth vote.
Read the following article.
Have the youth given up on Obama?
The relevant part of this article is that the employment rate of the 16 - 29 year old age group is only 55%. Just over half of the people from 16 - 29 have jobs. Anyone want to guess at what the rate is for minorities? They traditionally have a higher rate than whites so a large portion of these could be Hispanics and blacks. I noticed CNN did not put that in the article.
I have written at least three different posts on warning signs for an Obama re-election.
There are some who think that the next election is in the bag. Through cheating, media interference, and even incompetence on the right, the re-election of Obama is going to happen. I have a tendency to agree with all of the above with the exception that I think Obama faces a very significant hill to climb for re-election.
The problems keep mounting. More and more it seems as if the groups that put Obama over the top in 2008 are falling away a little at a time.
Remember, the GOP doesn't need Obama to lose all of the black vote, or Hispanics, young, women, moderate Democrats, etc. A few here and a few there will add up.
A swing of 2 - 3 percent of the electorate could be huge. It could mean the loss of key states like Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan. Just as importantly, the traditional GOP states Obama took in 2008 will swing back to the GOP.
I am thinking the 2008 election is the GOP's to lose, what are your thoughts?