Chris Christie has said no thanks, again.
Rick Perry has talked himself out of contention.
Michelle Bachmann was never really in it.
Ron Paul is still crazy.
What is left are Mitt Romney, Herman Cain, and a few others not worth the time to type.
In my mind, the race is now Romney's to lose. Cain is coming on strong but I just don't see him overtaking Romney in votes, money, or party support.
Realize this is not an endorsement, just observation. I am not a huge fan of Romney by any stretch of the imagination but will certainly pick him if the other option is Barack Hussein Obama.
Give Romney credit on one thing, his "last man standing" strategy is working. He has not played to win, just to not lose. While I am underwhelmed with this as a strategy and think that the country should demand more from a President, he will likely get the nomination and very possibly the Presidency with the strategy. So, I ask, who is the dummy?
His unwillingness to commit to well, anything, in the campaign so far cuts down on the baggage he has to shed during the general campaign. Keep in mind that this is a man who already has a lot of baggage.
Again, I view it as a pathetic strategy but it may very well help him beat Hussein and quite frankly that is my one and only goal for this election.
So back to my original question. Assuming the nomination goes to Romney, what about Cain as a running mate?
Until now the assumption was that Marco Rubio was the VP of choice but he said yesterday that he would likely say no if asked. I realize these types of statements are to be taken with a grain of salt but what if he really means it?
I have outlined my case for Rubio in a previous post:
-would help with the Hispanic vote
-Tea Party darling
-Would bring home Florida, this is big
Which of these does he have that Cain does not?
-not a help with the Hispanic vote but may bring in just as much of the black vote. Obama is vulnerable with the black vote due to unemployment and the fact that not all of them are lock-step liberals. Many black voters are fairly moderate to slightly conservative. The lure of voting for the first black President was too much for them. We have already crossed that bridge and many of them are disappointed now that they are on the other side. Cain may be a good alternative. He will not win the black vote but this is going to be a close election. Losing 10 percent of the black vote could do some damage to Obama's reelection hopes.
-he will help bring home the Tea Party. Sarah Palin and/or Ron Paul may decide on a 3rd party run. The GOP needs a conservative on the ticket and Romney ain't it.
-will help deliver Florida. The GOP loses a bit here with Cain instead of Rubio but Cain won the straw poll so we cannot dismiss his ability in Florida. Further, I think Florida may be similar to the black vote as I described above. Obama will not win Florida in a landslide, if he does at all. A shift of not a lot of votes could be the difference between winning it and losing it.
-look beyond Florida. Rubio helps in Florida but not as much as Cain in some of the other purple states. Think about the black vote in some of the biggest swing states this year - Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. Again, a few votes could go a long way. Remember that a vote that swings from one party to another counts twice - it's a -1 for Obama and a +1 for the GOP.
I think Romney/Cain could be a winning ticket. What are your thoughts?