Monday, May 14, 2012

This Is Not Good News

Poll: Romney has slight edge over Obama

Read the article.

This is not the first, and not likely the last, poll to show Romney ahead of Obama.

Also, it is too early for any poll to have any true relevance.

This poll, while a small margin, is still not good news for Obama.

-It is among registered voters. This is a gimmick long used by the MSM to show a Democrat leading in a race. The only poll that has any credibility IMHO is one that measures likely voters.

A poll just measuring registered voters is skewed for a couple of reasons.

One, it measures people who vote and people who do not. People who do not vote have no bearing on an election. An obvious fact that seems to be lost on the MSM.

Second, Republicans tend to be more reliable voters so often Democrats are over-counted in polls of registered voters. In other words, more of the voters who do not vote are Democrats so this inflates the strength of the Democratic candidate.

-It is by CBS. In my mind any poll conducted by the MSM is automatically suspect.

So, take these two aspects in mind and Obama is still trailing?

This is not good news - for Obama.

4 comments:

Right Wing Theocrat said...

Great, I hope it's just the start of one bad poll after another all the way to the one that really counts.

Brooke said...

Oh, we can count on the MSM to skew the numbers HARD the closer we get to November.

Let's hope it is a miserable, cold, blustery, rainy day when it's time to go to the polls. ;)

Chuck said...

Mk, there is only that counts isn't there?

Brooke, word is he is losing ground on women and independents too. Seems the media is not reporting on that...

sveskovic said...

I am very impressed by your blog and would love to interview you for my blog: www.sergiopolitics.org
Please see below questions I would like you to answer:

What are your thoughts about Mitt Romney as a GOP candidate?
What do you think about Obama and his chances for re-election?
What do you think will be the main issue in November election?
How do you think Social Media will play a role in this campaign? and can you compare it to Obama's campaign of 2008?
What is your opinion of Super PACs and its influence in this race?
If you have some other thought you would like to share please feel free.

Thank you so much and kind regards;

Sergio Veskovic
www.sergiopolitics.org
sergio@sergiopolitics.org