Wednesday, June 6, 2012

Walker Election A Portend?

The recall election is over in Wisconsin and Scott Walker has won.

The White House and the rest of the Dems are trying their best to spin this as nothing more than a local election. It has no bearing on the November elections at all.

While reading this, keep in mind that Wisconsin is a big deal for Obama in November. It has 10 electoral votes, not a lot but it could be huge in a close election. Beyond that is the notion that if they were to lose Wisconsin, then what else would they lose? Michigan? Pennsylvania? Ohio? Minnesota?

So they can save their "it has no ramifications" bit for someone else.

To the point though.

As I often do, I look deeper into the exit polls for signs of danger (or reward for us).

As everyone knows, this entire recall election was about Walker "busting" unions. He is the bogey man for the left. The unions despise him. Unions poured money and resources into this election like there is no tomorrow.

Guess what? According to a Fox News exit poll 38% of voters from union households voted for Walker. Not a big number by itself. Certainly not 51%, the magic number needed to win an election.

Keep in mind the money poured into the election by unions. The demonization of Walker by the unions over the last year or so. After all the unions have thrown at him, after they have spent a year making him the man who will single handily destroy unions in the US, he wins almost one in four union votes?

Now, take this race to Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, or any other pro-union state without Walker on the ballot. Would that 38% be 45% in one of these states?

Forgetting any other conjecture on Romney garnering a large portion of the union vote, do you think the unions can contain their members on a politician they have not campaigned so hard against for a year?

Think Obama can lose 38% of the union vote in one of these states and win it? Think he can lose many of these states and win the election?

Things are getting interesting.

15 comments:

Z said...

I think this is huge...and shocking, really. What a win.
I'm loving Debbie Wasserman Schultz's comment before the election,so sure they'd win: "this election is a DRY RUN for the national election"

We hope so, Deb...we sure hope so :-)
Boy, is she eating HER words.

Always On Watch said...

Z is absolutely correct: this is huge!

I predict the following (at least one of them, that is):

1. Obama will dump Biden and try to put Hillary on the ticket. However, I do wonder if Hillary will accept such an offer.

2. Obama will go to war in the Middle East (Syria and/or Iran).

In your words, Chuck: Things are getting interesting. And, unless I miss my guess, things are going to get even MORE interesting, too.

Chuck said...

Z, I love that she is the DNC Chair. Can we get a better person for it?

AOW, I can't make up my mind on the Biden thing. Whether he will do it, whether Hillary would accept, or whether it is even a good idea.

LA Sunset said...

Chuck,
//...he wins almost one in four union votes?//

I am not a math scholar, but it's more than that. Almost two out of five, more than a third. Which is a phenomenal number, given how much bad press the unions have given Walker.

Z,
Debbie Wassername Doltz is a well programmed machine, the prototype for all other Obamatons. She even has built in defense mechanisms.

AOW,
//I do wonder if Hillary will accept such an offer.//

With the way Bill Clinton has been acting lately, I don't think this is much of a probability. I think Hillary is in a better position to run against Romney in 2016, than risk being on a losing ticket in Nov.

But, as always, the caveat stands that I can be wrong.

DaBlade said...

Union membership is down significantly from their glory days, and those left are not in lock step with the fuhrer apparently. This should stiffen Romney's spine and gird his loins against the expected assault on him.

Alligator said...

Walker got 38% of the Union vote. That is a major dent in their fortress and something that would have been unachievable just 20 years ago.

Chuck said...

Hey LA, long time no see. In my head I was thinking 4 out of 10. Thanks for pointing it out. Also, it is more than that because when a candidate takes vote away they effectively count twice - more for Romney, fewer for Obama.

DaBlade, it will get ugly

Alligator, agreed

Z said...

I usually call her Debbie WasserPERSON Schultz because you know lefties hate to be UnPC, ungender specific :-)

Right Wing Theocrat said...

I was wondering about this, great news Chuck. I think the ramifications of him losing would have been far, far worse for small government Conservatives.

Sorry leftist trash, sucks to be you.

Ducky's here said...

A large percentage of the union households voting for Wakker were the stinking cops who figure that shafting other union workers means more for them to steal.

What amuses me are the fools who think they are going to be the ones who get a cut.

Ducky's here said...

Public employees are a pretty soft target and Romney could get somewhere pounding on it.

However, the fringe is likely to play into Obama's hands and continue to go after the homos and Planned Parenthood and completely alienate normals everywhere.

cube said...

I thought it was a big win for our side, i.e., anyone but Omama in November. The MSM is playing down the significance of the win, but we know better.

Z said...

Chuck, you and the family okay?
I hope you're away having fun or just too busy.xx
you're missed

Z said...

Chuck, you okay? z

Always On Watch said...

Chuck,
Where are you?

Are you okay?